Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 6 at the 71

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Green Bay Packers 0

(15:00) 9-J.Ryan punts 59 yards to GB 12, Center-69-T.Ott. 11-T.Davis to GB 12 for no gain (58-D.Alexander).

The Three Options

GO -1.67 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.55 EP
57% chance to fail: Green Bay Packers takes over around their own 71, worth -4.11 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model