Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 5 at the 81

Dallas Cowboys 7 – New York Giants 10

(14:54) 6-C.Jones punts 51 yards to NYG 30, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 17-D.Harris to NYG 34 for 4 yards (41-K.Smith).

The Three Options

GO -2.10 EP

49% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 76, worth +0.70 EP
51% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 81, worth -4.80 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (98 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model