Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 15 at the 72

Dallas Cowboys 7 – Washington Commanders 0

(3:28) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 53 yards to WAS 19, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, downed by DAL-23-L.McFadden.

The Three Options

GO -1.85 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +2.64 EP
67% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 72, worth -4.02 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model