Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 10 at the 75

Pittsburgh Steelers 14 – Cleveland Browns 0

(13:15) (Punt formation) 4-J.Berry punts 43 yards to CLE 32, Center-60-G.Warren. 29-D.Johnson Jr. to CLE 46 for 14 yards (14-S.Coates).

The Three Options

GO -2.15 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.64 EP
63% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 75, worth -4.36 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model