Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 19 at the 62

Los Angeles Rams 10 – Miami Dolphins 0

(12:13) 6-J.Hekker punts 45 yards to MIA 17, Center-44-J.McQuaide, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.62 EP

24% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 43, worth +3.03 EP
76% chance to fail: Miami Dolphins takes over around their own 62, worth -3.08 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model