Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Arizona Cardinals 4th & 4 at the 69

Arizona Cardinals 0 – San Francisco 49ers 0

(14:13) 9-R.Quigley punts 43 yards to SF 26, Center-46-A.Brewer, fair catch by 17-J.Kerley.

The Three Options

GO -0.80 EP

50% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +2.30 EP
50% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 69, worth -3.83 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model