Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Tennessee Titans 4th & 6 at the 86

Tennessee Titans 0 – Los Angeles Chargers 6

(9:02) 6-B.Kern punts 36 yards to 50, Center-48-B.Brinkley, fair catch by 89-I.Burse.

The Three Options

GO -2.78 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 80, worth +0.32 EP
55% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 86, worth -5.30 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (103 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model