Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 7 at the 88

Los Angeles Rams 0 – Carolina Panthers 7

(2:22) 6-J.Hekker punts 75 yards to CAR 13, Center-44-J.McQuaide, downed by LA-13-M.Thomas.

The Three Options

GO -2.57 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 81, worth +1.02 EP
60% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 88, worth -4.95 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (105 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model