Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Arizona Cardinals 4th & 6 at the 72

Arizona Cardinals 0 – San Francisco 49ers 7

(3:15) 9-R.Quigley punts 46 yards to SF 26, Center-46-A.Brewer, fair catch by 17-J.Kerley.

The Three Options

GO -1.79 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 66, worth +1.55 EP
59% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 72, worth -4.10 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model