Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 6 at the 71

Seattle Seahawks 3 – Los Angeles Rams 9

(12:54) 9-J.Ryan punts 39 yards to LA 32, Center-48-N.Frese. 11-T.Austin to LA 32 for no gain (35-D.Shead).

The Three Options

GO -1.78 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.19 EP
56% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 71, worth -4.10 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model