Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 6 at the 71

Los Angeles Rams 3 – Seattle Seahawks 3

(13:51) 6-J.Hekker punts 52 yards to SEA 19, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 16-T.Lockett.

The Three Options

GO -1.68 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.94 EP
62% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 71, worth -3.89 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model