Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 15 at the 85

Dallas Cowboys 19 – New York Giants 13

(10:25) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 56 yards to NYG 29, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 17-D.Harris pushed ob at NYG 46 for 17 yards (89-G.Escobar).

The Three Options

GO -3.12 EP

28% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.48 EP
72% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 85, worth -4.89 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (102 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model