Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 18 at the 88

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Carolina Panthers 24

(11:18) 9-J.Ryan punts 42 yards to CAR 46, Center-49-C.Gresham, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -3.34 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.13 EP
71% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 88, worth -5.12 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (105 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model