Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 7 at the 62

Dallas Cowboys 3 – New York Jets 9

(4:49) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 51 yards to NYJ 11, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.34 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +2.36 EP
64% chance to fail: New York Jets takes over around their own 62, worth -3.45 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model