Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Carolina Panthers 4th & 10 at the 69

Carolina Panthers 7 – New York Giants 7

(9:10) 8-B.Nortman punts 40 yards to NYG 29, Center-44-J.Jansen. 17-D.Harris to NYG 31 for 2 yards (33-T.Boston).

The Three Options

GO -1.92 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 59, worth +1.88 EP
64% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 69, worth -4.02 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model