Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Atlanta Falcons 4th & 14 at the 55

Atlanta Falcons 0 – Carolina Panthers 21

(3:53) 5-M.Bosher punts 36 yards to CAR 19, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 19-T.Ginn.

The Three Options

GO -1.44 EP

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 41, worth +3.19 EP
74% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 55, worth -3.03 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (72 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model