Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Cleveland Browns 4th & 6 at the 76

Cleveland Browns 3 – Cincinnati Bengals 37

(4:33) (Punt formation) 8-A.Lee punts 34 yards to CIN 42, Center-47-C.Hughlett, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.00 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.10 EP
59% chance to fail: Cincinnati Bengals takes over around their own 76, worth -4.17 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model