Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 New Orleans Saints 4th & 9 at the 55

New Orleans Saints 0 – Carolina Panthers 0

(11:59) 6-T.Morstead punts 49 yards to CAR 6, Center-47-J.Drescher, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -0.80 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 46, worth +3.35 EP
68% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 55, worth -2.76 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (72 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model