Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 San Francisco 49ers 4th & 8 at the 67

San Francisco 49ers 0 – Arizona Cardinals 6

(7:09) 5-B.Pinion punts 46 yards to ARI 21, Center-86-K.Nelson, fair catch by 21-P.Peterson.

The Three Options

GO -1.63 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 59, worth +2.16 EP
66% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 67, worth -3.59 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model