Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 18 at the 86

Cincinnati Bengals 6 – Houston Texans 10

(10:57) 10-K.Huber punts 48 yards to HOU 38, Center-46-C.Harris, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.93 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 68, worth +1.69 EP
71% chance to fail: Houston Texans takes over around their own 86, worth -4.85 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (103 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model