Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 New Orleans Saints 4th & 10 at the 60

New Orleans Saints 28 – Tennessee Titans 28

(4:36) 6-T.Morstead punts 49 yards to TEN 11, Center-47-J.Drescher, fair catch by 22-D.McCluster.

The Three Options

GO -1.33 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +2.30 EP
67% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 60, worth -3.13 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model