Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 19 at the 74

Cincinnati Bengals 6 – Pittsburgh Steelers 7

(9:22) (Punt formation) 10-K.Huber punts 24 yards to 50, Center-46-C.Harris, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.70 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +1.99 EP
73% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 74, worth -4.48 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model