Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 13 at the 72

Los Angeles Chargers 3 – Las Vegas Raiders 23

(1:53) 5-M.Scifres punts 39 yards to LV 33, Center-47-M.Windt. 38-T.Carrie to LV 37 for 4 yards (25-D.Stuckey, 51-K.Emanuel).

The Three Options

GO -2.02 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 59, worth +1.96 EP
68% chance to fail: Las Vegas Raiders takes over around their own 72, worth -3.84 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model