Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 6 at the 60

Los Angeles Rams 10 – Cleveland Browns 3

(11:56) 6-J.Hekker punts 56 yards to CLE 4, Center-44-J.McQuaide, downed by LA-15-B.Marquez.

The Three Options

GO -0.81 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.82 EP
61% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 60, worth -3.14 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model