Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Kansas City Chiefs 4th & 7 at the 62

Kansas City Chiefs 0 – Minnesota Vikings 3

(1:14) (Punt formation) 2-D.Colquitt punts 43 yards to MIN 19, Center-41-J.Winchester, fair catch by 35-M.Sherels.

The Three Options

GO -1.46 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +2.05 EP
62% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 62, worth -3.57 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model