Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 7 at the 69

Dallas Cowboys 3 – Philadelphia Eagles 0

(7:14) 6-C.Jones punts 43 yards to PHI 26, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, fair catch by 43-D.Sproles.

The Three Options

GO -1.69 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +1.81 EP
61% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 69, worth -3.92 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model