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Sunday 2027-01-10 · 13:00 ET
State Farm Stadium, Glendale US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: slight edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- ARI defense: +0.195 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (31st in the league)
- QB edge to SF: Jacoby Brissett (ARI) -0.014 vs Brock Purdy (SF) +0.249 EPA/dropback
- SF defense: +0.035 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (20th in the league)
- SF offense: +0.041 EPA/play over its last 8 games (11th in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- ARI offense: -0.007 EPA/play over its last 8 games (18th in the league)
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
SF
27
20–34
–
ARI
21
14–28
Projected margin: SF by 6
Projected total: 48
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 18
SF
No players on the report.
ARI
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 18 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.