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Sunday 2027-01-10 · 13:00 ET
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: strong edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- NYJ offense: -0.229 EPA/play over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
- BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
- NYJ defense: +0.224 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
- QB edge to BUF: Josh Allen (BUF) +0.196 vs Geno Smith (NYJ) -0.069 EPA/dropback
- BUF defense: -0.058 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (10th in the league)
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
NYJ
16
9–23
–
BUF
31
24–38
Projected margin: BUF by 15
Projected total: 47
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 18
NYJ
No players on the report.
BUF
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 18 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
