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Las Vegas Raiders

3-3 HC Klint Kubliak
@
KC Home

Kansas City Chiefs

5-0 HC Andy Reid
Sunday 2027-01-10 · 13:00 ET GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

LV
29.6%
KC
70.4%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: strong edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • LV offense: -0.230 EPA/play over its last 8 games (31st in the league)
  • KC offense: -0.120 EPA/play over its last 8 games (26th in the league)
  • KC defense: -0.031 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (13th in the league)
  • Kirk Cousins (LV): +0.143 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • LV defense: +0.035 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (19th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

LV 21 14–28
–
KC 24 17–31
Projected margin: KC by 3 Projected total: 45

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 18

LV

No players on the report.

KC

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 18 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.