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LAC Away

Los Angeles Chargers

0-6 HC Jim Harbaugh
@
DEN Home

Denver Broncos

4-2 HC Sean Payton
Sunday 2027-01-10 · 13:00 ET Empower Field at Mile High, Denver US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

LAC
26.1%
DEN
73.9%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: strong edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • LAC offense: -0.124 EPA/play over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
  • DEN defense: -0.051 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (11th in the league)
  • Justin Herbert (LAC): -0.130 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • LAC defense: -0.089 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (8th in the league)
  • DEN offense: +0.004 EPA/play over its last 8 games (17th in the league)
  • Played at altitude (3,000+ ft)

Predicted Final Score

LAC 19 12–26
–
DEN 22 15–29
Projected margin: DEN by 3 Projected total: 41

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 18

LAC

No players on the report.

DEN

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 18 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.