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Sunday 2027-01-03 · 13:00 ET
Nissan Stadium, Nashville US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- TEN defense: +0.070 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
- PIT offense: -0.062 EPA/play over its last 8 games (25th in the league)
- QB edge to PIT: Cam Ward (TEN) -0.150 vs Aaron Rodgers (PIT) -0.055 EPA/dropback
- TEN offense: -0.136 EPA/play over its last 8 games (29th in the league)
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
PIT
20
13–27
–
TEN
25
18–32
Projected margin: TEN by 5
Projected total: 45
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 17
PIT
No players on the report.
TEN
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 17 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
