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NYG Away

New York Giants

3-2-1 HC John Harbaugh
@
DAL Home

Dallas Cowboys

2-4 HC Brian Schottenheimer
Sunday 2027-01-03 · 13:00 ET AT&T Stadium, Arlington US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

NYG
48.4%
DAL
51.6%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • DAL defense: +0.179 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
  • QB edge to DAL: Dak Prescott (DAL) +0.165 vs Jameis Winston (NYG) -0.059 EPA/dropback
  • DAL offense: +0.081 EPA/play over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
  • NYG offense: +0.042 EPA/play over its last 8 games (10th in the league)
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • NYG defense: +0.022 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (17th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

NYG 25 18–32
–
DAL 27 20–34
Projected margin: DAL by 2 Projected total: 52

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 17

NYG

No players on the report.

DAL

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 17 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.