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NO Away

New Orleans Saints

2-4 HC Kellen Moore
@
ATL Home

Atlanta Falcons

2-4 HC Raheem Morris
Sunday 2027-01-03 · 13:00 ET Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

NO
44.0%
ATL
56.0%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: slight edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • NO offense: -0.011 EPA/play over its last 8 games (19th in the league)
  • NO defense: -0.173 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
  • ATL offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (13th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

NO 22 15–29
–
ATL 23 16–30
Projected margin: ATL by 1 Projected total: 45

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 17

NO

No players on the report.

ATL

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 17 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.