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Minnesota Vikings

HC Kevin O'Connell
@
NYJ Home

New York Jets

HC Aaron Glenn
Sunday 2027-01-03 · 13:00 MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

MIN
59.9%
NYJ
40.1%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • NYJ offense: -0.229 EPA/play over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
  • NYJ defense: +0.224 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
  • MIN offense: -0.129 EPA/play over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
  • Geno Smith (NYJ): -0.200 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • MIN defense: -0.164 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (3rd in the league)

Predicted Final Score

MIN 26
NYJ 18
Projected margin: MIN by 8 Projected total: 44

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 17

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.