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Sunday 2027-01-03 · 13:00
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- KC offense: -0.120 EPA/play over its last 8 games (26th in the league)
- LAC offense: -0.124 EPA/play over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
- LAC defense: -0.089 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (8th in the league)
- Patrick Mahomes (KC): +0.155 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- Indoors — weather neutralised
Predicted Final Score
KC
22
–
LAC
23
Projected margin: LAC by 1
Projected total: 45
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 17
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.