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Sunday 2027-01-03 · 13:00 ET
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- KC offense: -0.120 EPA/play over its last 8 games (26th in the league)
- LAC offense: -0.124 EPA/play over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
- LAC defense: -0.089 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (8th in the league)
- Justin Herbert (LAC): -0.130 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- KC defense: -0.031 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (13th in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
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Predicted Final Score
KC
21
14–28
–
LAC
23
16–30
Projected margin: LAC by 2
Projected total: 44
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 17
KC
No players on the report.
LAC
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 17 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.