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DET Away

Detroit Lions

HC Dan Campbell
@
CHI Home

Chicago Bears

HC Ben Johnson
Sunday 2027-01-03 · 16:25 Soldier Field, Chicago US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

DET
42.6%
CHI
57.4%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • CHI offense: +0.058 EPA/play over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
  • CHI defense: +0.055 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)
  • DET offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (12th in the league)
  • Jared Goff (DET): +0.123 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • DET defense: +0.062 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (24th in the league)
  • CHI on 3 more days rest than DET

Predicted Final Score

DET 24
CHI 25
Projected margin: CHI by 1 Projected total: 49

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 17

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.