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DEN Away

Denver Broncos

4-2 HC Sean Payton
@
NE Home

New England Patriots

4-2 HC Mike Vrabel
Sunday 2027-01-03 · 13:00 ET Gillette Stadium, Foxborough US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

DEN
27.3%
NE
72.7%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: strong edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • NE defense: -0.157 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
  • NE offense: +0.061 EPA/play over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
  • DEN defense: -0.051 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (11th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

DEN 22 15–29
–
NE 26 19–33
Projected margin: NE by 4 Projected total: 48

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 17

DEN

No players on the report.

NE

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 17 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.