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Buffalo Bills

5-1 HC Sean McDermott
@
MIA Home

Miami Dolphins

0-5 HC Jeff Hafley
Sunday 2027-01-03 · 13:00 ET Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

BUF
73.5%
MIA
26.5%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: strong edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
  • QB edge to BUF: Malik Willis (MIA) -0.058 vs Josh Allen (BUF) +0.196 EPA/dropback
  • MIA offense: -0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (20th in the league)
  • MIA defense: +0.057 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)

Predicted Final Score

BUF 29 22–36
–
MIA 19 12–26
Projected margin: BUF by 10 Projected total: 48

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 17

BUF

No players on the report.

MIA

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 17 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.