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Sunday 2026-12-27 · 13:00 ET
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: slight edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- MIN offense: -0.129 EPA/play over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
- MIN defense: -0.164 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (3rd in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- WAS defense: +0.166 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (29th in the league)
- WAS offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (14th in the league)
- Jayden Daniels (WAS): -0.001 EPA/dropback in prior starts
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
WAS
21
14–28
–
MIN
24
17–31
Projected margin: MIN by 3
Projected total: 45
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 16
WAS
No players on the report.
MIN
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 16 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
