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WAS Away

Washington Commanders

HC Dan Quinn
@
MIN Home

Minnesota Vikings

HC Kevin O'Connell
Sunday 2026-12-27 · 13:00 U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

WAS
38.0%
MIN
62.0%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • MIN defense: -0.164 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (3rd in the league)
  • MIN offense: -0.129 EPA/play over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
  • WAS defense: +0.166 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (29th in the league)
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • WAS offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (14th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

WAS 21
MIN 24
Projected margin: MIN by 3 Projected total: 45

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 16

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.