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Sunday 2026-12-27 · 16:05
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- LV offense: -0.230 EPA/play over its last 8 games (31st in the league)
- TEN offense: -0.136 EPA/play over its last 8 games (29th in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- QB edge to LV: Kirk Cousins (LV) -0.046 vs Cam Ward (TEN) -0.144 EPA/dropback
- LV defense: +0.035 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (19th in the league)
- TEN defense: +0.070 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
Predicted Final Score
TEN
22
–
LV
24
Projected margin: LV by 2
Projected total: 46
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 16
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.