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Sunday 2026-12-27 · 16:25 ET
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: slight edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- KC offense: -0.120 EPA/play over its last 8 games (26th in the league)
- SF defense: +0.035 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (20th in the league)
- Brock Purdy (SF): +0.249 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- SF offense: +0.041 EPA/play over its last 8 games (11th in the league)
- KC defense: -0.031 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (13th in the league)
- SF on 4 more days rest than KC
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
SF
23
16–30
–
KC
24
17–31
Projected margin: KC by 1
Projected total: 47
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 16
SF
No players on the report.
KC
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 16 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
