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JAX Away

Jacksonville Jaguars

HC Liam Coen
@
DAL Home

Dallas Cowboys

HC Brian Schottenheimer
Sunday 2026-12-27 · 20:20 AT&T Stadium, Arlington US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

JAX
50.1%
DAL
49.9%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>coin flip</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • DAL defense: +0.179 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
  • JAX offense: +0.093 EPA/play over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
  • DAL offense: +0.081 EPA/play over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
  • JAX defense: -0.160 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
  • Dak Prescott (DAL): +0.161 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • Indoors — weather neutralised

Predicted Final Score

JAX 27
DAL 23
Projected margin: JAX by 4 Projected total: 50

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 16

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.