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Sunday 2026-12-27 · 20:20
AT&T Stadium, Arlington US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: <strong>coin flip</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- DAL defense: +0.179 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
- JAX offense: +0.093 EPA/play over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
- DAL offense: +0.081 EPA/play over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
- JAX defense: -0.160 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
- Dak Prescott (DAL): +0.161 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- Indoors — weather neutralised
Predicted Final Score
JAX
27
–
DAL
23
Projected margin: JAX by 4
Projected total: 50
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 16
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.