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Thursday 2026-12-24 · 20:15 ET
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- HOU defense: -0.144 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
- PHI offense: +0.006 EPA/play over its last 8 games (16th in the league)
- PHI defense: -0.076 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (9th in the league)
- Tanner McKee (PHI): -0.054 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- HOU offense: -0.032 EPA/play over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)
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Predicted Final Score
HOU
23
16–30
–
PHI
22
15–29
Projected margin: HOU by 1
Projected total: 45
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 16
HOU
No players on the report.
PHI
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 16 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
