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Sunday 2026-12-27 · 13:00 ET
Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- Aaron Rodgers (PIT): -0.055 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- CAR offense: -0.022 EPA/play over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)
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Predicted Final Score
CAR
22
15–29
–
PIT
24
17–31
Projected margin: PIT by 2
Projected total: 46
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 16
CAR
No players on the report.
PIT
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 16 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.