4TH&DATA
EN ES
Home
CAR Away

Carolina Panthers

3-2 HC Dave Canales
@
PIT Home

Pittsburgh Steelers

4-2 HC Mike McCarthy
Sunday 2026-12-27 · 13:00 ET Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

CAR
37.9%
PIT
62.1%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • Aaron Rodgers (PIT): -0.055 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • CAR offense: -0.022 EPA/play over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)

Predicted Final Score

CAR 22 15–29
–
PIT 24 17–31
Projected margin: PIT by 2 Projected total: 46

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 16

CAR

No players on the report.

PIT

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 16 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.