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Friday 2026-12-25 · 16:30 ET
Empower Field at Mile High, Denver US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
- DEN defense: -0.051 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (11th in the league)
- Josh Allen (BUF): +0.196 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- DEN offense: +0.004 EPA/play over its last 8 games (17th in the league)
- Played at altitude (3,000+ ft)
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
BUF
26
19–33
–
DEN
20
13–27
Projected margin: BUF by 6
Projected total: 46
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 16
BUF
No players on the report.
DEN
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 16 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
