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Sunday 2026-12-20 · 13:00 ET
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- Baker Mayfield (TB): -0.119 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- TB defense: +0.088 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
- TB offense: -0.020 EPA/play over its last 8 games (21st in the league)
- NO offense: -0.011 EPA/play over its last 8 games (19th in the league)
- NO defense: -0.173 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
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Predicted Final Score
NO
21
14–28
–
TB
23
16–30
Projected margin: TB by 2
Projected total: 44
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 15
NO
No players on the report.
TB
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 15 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
