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Monday 2026-12-21 · 20:15 ET
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- KC offense: -0.120 EPA/play over its last 8 games (26th in the league)
- NE defense: -0.157 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
- NE offense: +0.061 EPA/play over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
- KC defense: -0.031 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (13th in the league)
- NE on 3 more days rest than KC
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
NE
22
15–29
–
KC
24
17–31
Projected margin: KC by 2
Projected total: 46
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 15
NE
No players on the report.
KC
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 15 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
