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Monday 2026-12-21 · 20:15
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: <strong>coin flip</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- KC offense: -0.120 EPA/play over its last 8 games (26th in the league)
- NE offense: +0.061 EPA/play over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
- NE defense: -0.157 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
- NE on 3 more days rest than KC
- QB edge to KC: Patrick Mahomes (KC) +0.155 vs Drake Maye (NE) +0.119 EPA/dropback
Predicted Final Score
NE
23
–
KC
25
Projected margin: KC by 2
Projected total: 48
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 15
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.