4th & Data
EN ES
← Home
IND Away

Indianapolis Colts

HC Shane Steichen
@
TEN Home

Tennessee Titans

HC Robert Saleh
Sunday 2026-12-20 · 13:00 Nissan Stadium, Nashville US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

IND
55.2%
TEN
44.8%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • QB edge to IND: Cam Ward (TEN) -0.144 vs Daniel Jones (IND) +0.164 EPA/dropback
  • TEN offense: -0.136 EPA/play over its last 8 games (29th in the league)
  • IND offense: -0.053 EPA/play over its last 8 games (24th in the league)
  • TEN defense: +0.070 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
  • IND defense: +0.067 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (25th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

IND 25
TEN 21
Projected margin: IND by 4 Projected total: 46

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 15

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.