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Detroit Lions

3-2 HC Dan Campbell
@
MIN Home

Minnesota Vikings

5-0 HC Kevin O'Connell
Sunday 2026-12-20 · 20:20 ET U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

DET
54.0%
MIN
46.0%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • MIN offense: -0.129 EPA/play over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
  • MIN defense: -0.164 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (3rd in the league)
  • Jared Goff (DET): +0.224 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • DET offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (12th in the league)
  • MIN on 3 more days rest than DET

Predicted Final Score

DET 24 17–31
–
MIN 22 15–29
Projected margin: DET by 2 Projected total: 46

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 15

DET

No players on the report.

MIN

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 15 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.