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Chicago Bears

4-2 HC Ben Johnson
@
BUF Home

Buffalo Bills

5-1 HC Sean McDermott
Saturday 2026-12-19 · 20:20 ET Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

CHI
24.9%
BUF
75.1%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: strong edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
  • CHI offense: +0.058 EPA/play over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
  • QB edge to BUF: Josh Allen (BUF) +0.196 vs Caleb Williams (CHI) +0.140 EPA/dropback
  • BUF defense: -0.058 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (10th in the league)
  • CHI defense: +0.055 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)

Predicted Final Score

CHI 22 15–29
–
BUF 28 21–35
Projected margin: BUF by 6 Projected total: 50

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 15

CHI

No players on the report.

BUF

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 15 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.